It's over for Rudy

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NellyLunatic1980
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It's over for Rudy

#1 Post by NellyLunatic1980 » Tue Jan 22, 2008 7:40 am

Florida (Rasmussen poll, 1/20)
Romney - 25%
McCain - 20%
Giuliani - 19%
Huckabee - 13%
Thompson - 12%

New York (Rasmussen poll, 1/17)
McCain - 26%
Giuliani - 20%
Romney - 13%
Thompson - 12%
Huckabee - 11%

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PlacentiaSoccerMom
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#2 Post by PlacentiaSoccerMom » Tue Jan 22, 2008 8:09 am

The polls could be wrong.

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#3 Post by slam » Tue Jan 22, 2008 8:18 am

PlacentiaSoccerMom wrote:The polls could be wrong.
How could the polls ever be wrong? :)

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nitrah55
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#4 Post by nitrah55 » Tue Jan 22, 2008 8:30 am

Just for the record, I want to remind everyone that many months ago (and about two boards ago), I said that as soon as the rest of the country found out what a nut job/phony/moral cypher Rudy is, he'd fall harder than a bag of doorknobs.

It may be the only correct political prediction I ever make.
I am about 25% sure of this.

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#5 Post by peacock2121 » Tue Jan 22, 2008 9:08 am

Even the Marist poll (from NY) has Rudy losing New York.

I told someone over the summer that not all New Yorkers love Rudy. They seemed surprised. People forget there is NY outside of the five boroughs.

We upstaters is what got us Hillary.

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gsabc
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#6 Post by gsabc » Tue Jan 22, 2008 9:08 am

nitrah55 wrote:Just for the record, I want to remind everyone that many months ago (and about two boards ago), I said that as soon as the rest of the country found out what a nut job/phony/moral cypher Rudy is, he'd fall harder than a bag of doorknobs.

It may be the only correct political prediction I ever make.
Possibly correct, but not for that reason, IMO. I'd say it was a major mistake, and major act of hubris, by him and his counselors to think that he could totally ignore the early caucuses and primaries with all their attendant publicity, and expect to win the later ones. Yeah, sure, he's been active in FL and the others, but no one was paying attention, especially the media. He was jogging while the others were running.
I just ordered chicken and an egg from Amazon. I'll let you know.

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peacock2121
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#7 Post by peacock2121 » Tue Jan 22, 2008 9:10 am

gsabc wrote:
nitrah55 wrote:Just for the record, I want to remind everyone that many months ago (and about two boards ago), I said that as soon as the rest of the country found out what a nut job/phony/moral cypher Rudy is, he'd fall harder than a bag of doorknobs.

It may be the only correct political prediction I ever make.
Possibly correct, but not for that reason, IMO. I'd say it was a major mistake, and major act of hubris, by him and his counselors to think that he could totally ignore the early caucuses and primaries with all their attendant publicity, and expect to win the later ones. Yeah, sure, he's been active in FL and the others, but no one was paying attention, especially the media. He was jogging while the others were running.
I was/is his arrogance that had him do that. He thinks 9/11 will carry him.

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#8 Post by slam » Tue Jan 22, 2008 9:34 am

peacock2121 wrote:Even the Marist poll (from NY) has Rudy losing New York.

I told someone over the summer that not all New Yorkers love Rudy. They seemed surprised. People forget there is NY outside of the five boroughs.

We upstaters is what got us Hillary.
In fact, not even all voters in NYC love Rudy. Until 9/11, he was merely a good, but not great Mayor (both Bloomberg and Koch have been significantly better for the city). NYC was suffering from Rudy fatigue. He couldn't run again because of term limits, but even if he could, I don't think he would have won again (in the absence of 9/11).

That being said, I'll still be voting for him in the primary here. Anytime I see candidates like Huckabee running, I wonder again why I'm registered as a Republican. And although McCain doesn't have the taint of religion that I so despise in a political candidate, when you scratch the surface, it turns out he's just as far to the right as Huckabee.

And despite my being a Republican, Giuliani is the only Republican candidate who I could see voting for in November. Unless, of course, Bloomberg buys his way into the election.
Last edited by slam on Tue Jan 22, 2008 9:37 am, edited 1 time in total.

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#9 Post by NellyLunatic1980 » Tue Jan 22, 2008 9:36 am

peacock2121 wrote:I was/is his arrogance that had him do that. He thinks 9/11 will carry him.
I've been saying for years that Rudy's ultimate fantasy is having a three-way with the number 9 and the number 11.

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#10 Post by ne1410s » Tue Jan 22, 2008 10:04 am

it turns out he's just as far to the right as Huckabee.
Huckabee and Brownback both said they do not believe in evolution, yet Brownback was naturally selected from the GOP race. Interesting...
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#11 Post by PlacentiaSoccerMom » Tue Jan 22, 2008 11:03 am

NellyLunatic1980 wrote:
peacock2121 wrote:I was/is his arrogance that had him do that. He thinks 9/11 will carry him.
I've been saying for years that Rudy's ultimate fantasy is having a three-way with the number 9 and the number 11.
That's really funny. :)

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#12 Post by JBillyGirl » Tue Jan 22, 2008 11:55 am

I'm kind of relieved that Giuliani is tanking, especially after reading this article in the New York Times:

http://tiny.cc/WMTyO

Basically it says the man was very, very good at holding a grudge and was not shy about using the city government to stick it to people on his sh*t list. I think he did some good things as mayor, but I sure as hell don't want him as my president.

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#13 Post by peacock2121 » Tue Jan 22, 2008 12:11 pm

JBillyGirl wrote:I'm kind of relieved that Giuliani is tanking, especially after reading this article in the New York Times:

http://tiny.cc/WMTyO

Basically it says the man was very, very good at holding a grudge and was not shy about using the city government to stick it to people on his sh*t list. I think he did some good things as mayor, but I sure as hell don't want him as my president.
I didn't even want him as my senator.

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#14 Post by Jeemie » Tue Jan 22, 2008 2:20 pm

I thought for something to be over, it had to have started.
1979 City of Champions 2009

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ToLiveIsToFly
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#15 Post by ToLiveIsToFly » Tue Jan 22, 2008 3:21 pm

Well, at least he got to make that one tackle.

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