This is not a good year to be a Republican. If they can lose House races in red districts of LA and MS, nothing is safe. They have nearly 30 open House seats to defend in the fall, while the Democrats have only a handful. There were also a number of Republicans who hung on in 2006 by the skin of their teeth. They have nearly twice as many Senate seats to defend, including several open ones, as the Democrats, and all the vulnerable Senate seats except possibly LA are Republican. Generic Democrats outpoll generic Republicans by 15-20 points.Sir_Galahad wrote:Someone who promotes the global warming hysteria and is, really, all for doing nothing about the illegal migration problem and has shown no proclivity to reducing government cannot be called a conservative.
Despite all the conservative gnashing of the teeth about John McCain, he is the only Republican candidate who stands a realistic chance for President. No matter how fractious the split between Hillary and Obama is, Romney or Thompson or Huckabee or Giuliani would have been steamrollered by a Democrat.
McCain is the only Republican who doesn't totally surrender the Hispanic vote against a Democrat (goodbye AZ, NM, CO and NV in a general election). His position on the environment doesn't drive moderates away (goodbye OR, WA and MN). His position on other issues is such that he offers something that the other Republicans don't, a remotely plausible alternative to a Democrat.
The American public has soured on Republicanism and conservatism this election cycle. Contrary to what a lot of conservatives believe, Reagan was only able to convince the voters to give his brand of politics a chance because Carter was viewed as screwing up Iran and the economy so abysmally. Now Bush is seen as having done the same thing, and voters want to try something new.
That McCain is within shouting distance of either Democrat right now is only due to his own unique set of positions that are somewhat appealing to the public and his image as a maverick and not a latent voter desire to elect a "real" conserative that McCain is thwarting. Having said that, his desire to clash publicly with "real" conservatives during the campaign, which may or may not be a campaign ploy, is helping him with the voters he needs to reach in the fall.