lv42day wrote:If you look at it from the perspective of a 40 to 1 payout, then it would seem to make sense to risk it. But if you look at it another way.... If someone off the street were to offer you a one in four chance of winning a million dollars, (like picking a random playing card, if its a heart you win), but it will cost you $25,000 if you pick a club, spade or diamond, would you take him up on the offer?
And another question, I'm sure you've discussed this in a thread I haven't read: the promos for the show say that there is a "guaranteed" million dollar winner. If I am understanding the rules correctly, in theory, everyone could simply decide not to go for it, meaning there would be no winner, right?
Someone off the street making that offer would undoubtedly be a scam artist, but if I could confirm that this was a legitimate offer, yes, I'd take the bet. You will never, ever, see a casino make that offer, though.*
Yes, according to the rules, everyone might walk away or guess incorrectly. The "guaranteed" winner is a spoiler TPTB have given away, in an attempt to increase viewership. Whether that's a good thing for them to do or not has been a subject of debate.
*This tournament further complicates the odds, since if anyone ahead of Tony answered correctly, he would not get the $1 million after all, had he gone for it.