Clusterf**k to the White House -- T-minus 7 days

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NellyLunatic1980
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Clusterf**k to the White House -- T-minus 7 days

#1 Post by NellyLunatic1980 » Tue Oct 28, 2008 2:13 pm

That's right... 7 days. Next Tuesday is the big day. Two years of endless campaigning, debating, and mudslinging has finally come to this moment.

I have all of next week off work. I have plenty of popcorn and soda ready for Tuesday night. Can you tell that I'm ready and anxious? :P

I might do this one final time on Monday, but for now, here is where all of the state polls stand:

Electoral-Vote.com

Obama - 364 Electoral Votes
McCain - 157 Electoral Votes
Tied - 17 Electoral Votes

Obama flips: Colorado (51-44), Florida (48-45), Indiana (48-45), Iowa (52-41), Nevada (49-46), New Mexico (54-44), North Carolina (49-48 ), Ohio (51-44), Virginia (51-44)
Ties: Missouri (47-47), Montana (45-45), North Dakota (45-45)

Pollster.com

Obama - 306 EVs
McCain - 142 EVs
Tossups - 90 EVs

Obama flips: Colorado (51.3-44.8 ), Iowa (53.0-41.3), New Mexico (50.4-43.9), Ohio (49.7-44.9), Virginia (51.8-43.8 )
Tossups: Florida (Obama +2.2), Georgia (McCain +3.8 ), Indiana (McCain +0.9), Missouri (Obama +1.8 ), Montana (McCain +3.4), Nevada (Obama +3.8 ), North Carolina (Obama +1.9), North Dakota (Obama +3.6)

RealClearPolitics.com

Obama - 306 EVs
McCain - 157 EVs
Tossups - 75 EVs

Obama flips: Colorado (51.0-44.8 ), Iowa (52.2-40.8 ), New Mexico (50.7-42.3), Ohio (50.5-44.2), Virginia (51.3-44.0)
Tossups: Florida (Obama +2.7), Indiana (Obama +0.3), Missouri (Obama +0.6), Montana (McCain +3.3), Nevada (Obama +3.5), North Carolina (Obama +1.6), North Dakota (McCain +4.0)

FiveThirtyEight.com

Obama - 351.1 EVs
McCain - 196.9 EVs

Obama flips: Colorado (49.7-44.3), Florida (48.1-45.8 ), Iowa (52.1-41.2), Missouri (47.5-46.6), New Mexico (50.6-43.2), Nevada (48.1-45.6), North Carolina (47.5-47.1), Ohio (48.4-44.8 ), Virginia (50.1-44.5)
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Re: Clusterf**k to the White House -- T-minus 7 days

#2 Post by ne1410s » Tue Oct 28, 2008 2:19 pm

Oh Boy!!!

Just 8 days until the next campaign starts...
"When you argue with a fool, there are two fools in the argument."
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Re: Clusterf**k to the White House -- T-minus 7 days

#3 Post by BackInTex » Tue Oct 28, 2008 2:21 pm

How about riot predictions?

Obama wins, celabratory riots in LA, Detroit, D.C., Atlanta

McCain wins, no riots in Fargo, ND, Cody, WY, and College Station, Tx.


I'm trying to figure out what companies make and sell tear gas and mace. I think they will report significantly higher year-over-year sales for the 4th qtr. Should be a good buy this week.
..what country can preserve it’s liberties if their rulers are not warned from time to time that their people preserve the spirit of resistance? let them take arms.
~~ Thomas Jefferson

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Revolution is when you decide that for yourself.
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Re: Clusterf**k to the White House -- T-minus 7 days

#4 Post by Timsterino » Tue Oct 28, 2008 4:42 pm

BackInTex wrote:How about riot predictions?

Obama wins, celabratory riots in LA, Detroit, D.C., Atlanta

McCain wins, no riots in Fargo, ND, Cody, WY, and College Station, Tx.


I'm trying to figure out what companies make and sell tear gas and mace. I think they will report significantly higher year-over-year sales for the 4th qtr. Should be a good buy this week.
"Wow" is all I can muster here.
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Re: Clusterf**k to the White House -- T-minus 7 days

#5 Post by BackInTex » Tue Oct 28, 2008 7:46 pm

Timsterino wrote: "Wow" is all I can muster here.
Mind you, I hope I'm wrong. But this there is way too much emotion built up for this election. More than a championship for for a basketball team. More than a verdict on a police beating.

You know you are thinking it, too. It is a big gorilla.
..what country can preserve it’s liberties if their rulers are not warned from time to time that their people preserve the spirit of resistance? let them take arms.
~~ Thomas Jefferson

War is where the government tells you who the bad guy is.
Revolution is when you decide that for yourself.
-- Benjamin Franklin (maybe)
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Re: Clusterf**k to the White House -- T-minus 7 days

#6 Post by Tocqueville3 » Tue Oct 28, 2008 7:52 pm

BackInTex wrote:
Timsterino wrote: "Wow" is all I can muster here.
Mind you, I hope I'm wrong. But this there is way too much emotion built up for this election. More than a championship for for a basketball team. More than a verdict on a police beating.

You know you are thinking it, too. It is a big gorilla.
BiT-

A lot of us are thinking it. You were the only one man enough to say it.
"I would drape myself in velvet if it were socially acceptable."
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Re: Clusterf**k to the White House -- T-minus 7 days

#7 Post by PlacentiaSoccerMom » Tue Oct 28, 2008 11:40 pm

ne1410s wrote:Oh Boy!!!

Just 8 days until the next campaign starts...
I can't wait!
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Re: Clusterf**k to the White House -- T-minus 7 days

#8 Post by Rexer25 » Wed Oct 29, 2008 6:29 am

BackInTex wrote:How about riot predictions?

Obama wins, celabratory riots in LA, Detroit, D.C., Atlanta

McCain wins, no riots in Fargo, ND, Cody, WY, and College Station, Tx.
Why did you pick those cities?
Enough already. It's my fault! Get over it!

That'll be $10, please.
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Re: Clusterf**k to the White House -- T-minus 7 days

#9 Post by TheCalvinator24 » Wed Oct 29, 2008 6:42 am

Tocqueville3 wrote:
BackInTex wrote:
Timsterino wrote: "Wow" is all I can muster here.
Mind you, I hope I'm wrong. But this there is way too much emotion built up for this election. More than a championship for for a basketball team. More than a verdict on a police beating.

You know you are thinking it, too. It is a big gorilla.
BiT-

A lot of us are thinking it. You were the only one man enough to say it.
I am more worried about race riots occurring in the unlikely event that Senator Obama loses. I fear that it could be really ugly for a long time.
It is our choices that show what we truly are, far more than our abilities. —Albus Dumbledore
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Re: Clusterf**k to the White House -- T-minus 7 days

#10 Post by NellyLunatic1980 » Wed Oct 29, 2008 6:46 am

BackInTex wrote:How about riot predictions?

Obama wins, celabratory riots in LA, Detroit, D.C., Atlanta

McCain wins, no riots in Fargo, ND, Cody, WY, and College Station, Tx.


I'm trying to figure out what companies make and sell tear gas and mace. I think they will report significantly higher year-over-year sales for the 4th qtr. Should be a good buy this week.
I will bet $50 that the only riots that break out after Obama wins next week will be the riots started by the neo-Nazis and the KKK in Alabama, Mississippi, and South Carolina.
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Re: Clusterf**k to the White House -- T-minus 7 days

#11 Post by NellyLunatic1980 » Wed Oct 29, 2008 7:03 am

More bad news for Mr. McCain. New polls today indicate that he is in danger of losing Georgia and he might now be forced to defend his home state of Arizona.

Arizona (Arizona State University poll)
McCain - 46%
Obama - 44%

Georgia (Insider Advantage poll)
McCain - 48%
Obama - 47%

The chances of Mr. Obama winning one or both of these states are very small... but if you're in the McCain campaign, these are definitely not numbers that you want to see from two states that should be in the bag for McCain.
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Re: Clusterf**k to the White House -- T-minus 7 days

#12 Post by BackInTex » Wed Oct 29, 2008 8:16 am

NellyLunatic1980 wrote:
BackInTex wrote:How about riot predictions?

Obama wins, celabratory riots in LA, Detroit, D.C., Atlanta

McCain wins, no riots in Fargo, ND, Cody, WY, and College Station, Tx.


I'm trying to figure out what companies make and sell tear gas and mace. I think they will report significantly higher year-over-year sales for the 4th qtr. Should be a good buy this week.
I will bet $50 that the only riots that break out after Obama wins next week will be the riots started by the neo-Nazis and the KKK in Alabama, Mississippi, and South Carolina.

I would be inclined to take that bet, but it would involve me actually hoping/benefitting for something bad to happen, so I won't.

Maybe a gentlemans' bet. The winner sends the loser an Avitar that the user must use until inaguration. Would you be inclined to such a wager?
..what country can preserve it’s liberties if their rulers are not warned from time to time that their people preserve the spirit of resistance? let them take arms.
~~ Thomas Jefferson

War is where the government tells you who the bad guy is.
Revolution is when you decide that for yourself.
-- Benjamin Franklin (maybe)
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Re: Clusterf**k to the White House -- T-minus 7 days

#13 Post by NellyLunatic1980 » Wed Oct 29, 2008 8:51 am

BackInTex wrote:Maybe a gentlemans' bet. The winner sends the loser an Avitar that the user must use until inaguration. Would you be inclined to such a wager?
Depends on what kind of avatar you have in mind. I'll show you mine if you show me yours.
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Re: Clusterf**k to the White House -- T-minus 7 days

#14 Post by BackInTex » Wed Oct 29, 2008 9:57 am

NellyLunatic1980 wrote:
BackInTex wrote:Maybe a gentlemans' bet. The winner sends the loser an Avitar that the user must use until inaguration. Would you be inclined to such a wager?
Depends on what kind of avatar you have in mind. I'll show you mine if you show me yours.
I don't know. If I win, maybe a modified ES picuture of you wearing a Pailin '12 tank. Something tasteful like that. :D
..what country can preserve it’s liberties if their rulers are not warned from time to time that their people preserve the spirit of resistance? let them take arms.
~~ Thomas Jefferson

War is where the government tells you who the bad guy is.
Revolution is when you decide that for yourself.
-- Benjamin Franklin (maybe)
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Re: Clusterf**k to the White House -- T-minus 7 days

#15 Post by NellyLunatic1980 » Wed Oct 29, 2008 11:31 am

BackInTex wrote:
NellyLunatic1980 wrote:
BackInTex wrote:Maybe a gentlemans' bet. The winner sends the loser an Avitar that the user must use until inaguration. Would you be inclined to such a wager?
Depends on what kind of avatar you have in mind. I'll show you mine if you show me yours.
I don't know. If I win, maybe a modified ES picuture of you wearing a Pailin '12 tank. Something tasteful like that. :D
That's a good one, provided that you spell Palin's name right. :P

I'll have to create something now. Maybe I'll use the McCain/Palin logo and font as my model and type something tasteful like "Republicans for Obama" or "McPwned by Nelly".
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Re: Clusterf**k to the White House -- T-minus 7 days

#16 Post by TheCalvinator24 » Wed Oct 29, 2008 11:35 am

Nelly,

I know you think it isn't even remotely within the realm of possibility, but I'm curious how you will react if Senator McCain somehow manages to win this thing. Have you even thought about that?
It is our choices that show what we truly are, far more than our abilities. —Albus Dumbledore
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Re: Clusterf**k to the White House -- T-minus 7 days

#17 Post by Boring Mini » Wed Oct 29, 2008 11:39 am

ne1410s wrote:Oh Boy!!!

Just 8 days until the next campaign starts...
They're already talking about Palin 2012. You're such an optimist after all these years of experience! That's what I like about you.....
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Re: Clusterf**k to the White House -- T-minus 7 days

#18 Post by Timsterino » Wed Oct 29, 2008 11:44 am

TheCalvinator24 wrote:Nelly,

I know you think it isn't even remotely within the realm of possibility, but I'm curious how you will react if Senator McCain somehow manages to win this thing. Have you even thought about that?
You are an optimist, Marty. I really like that about you. :)
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Re: Clusterf**k to the White House -- T-minus 7 days

#19 Post by TheCalvinator24 » Wed Oct 29, 2008 11:50 am

Timsterino wrote:
TheCalvinator24 wrote:Nelly,

I know you think it isn't even remotely within the realm of possibility, but I'm curious how you will react if Senator McCain somehow manages to win this thing. Have you even thought about that?
You are an optimist, Marty. I really like that about you. :)
Actually, I'm reasonably certain that Senator Obama is going to win, but I do see that it is not a foregone conclusion.
It is our choices that show what we truly are, far more than our abilities. —Albus Dumbledore
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Re: Clusterf**k to the White House -- T-minus 7 days

#20 Post by nitrah55 » Wed Oct 29, 2008 11:53 am

TheCalvinator24 wrote:Nelly,

I know you think it isn't even remotely within the realm of possibility, but I'm curious how you will react if Senator McCain somehow manages to win this thing. Have you even thought about that?
When William Buckley ran for mayor of New York, he was asked what his first act would be after being sworn in.

He had two answers:

"Put a net outside the windows of the editorial offices of the New York Times."

"Demand a recount."
I am about 25% sure of this.
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