AYSTAFG about the Kentucky Derby?

The forum for general posting. Come join the madness. :)
Message
Author
User avatar
andrewjackson
Posts: 3945
Joined: Wed Oct 10, 2007 12:33 pm
Location: Planet 10

#26 Post by andrewjackson » Thu May 01, 2008 7:11 am

Cowboy Cal is owned by Bob McNair, the owner of the Houston Texans.

Big Brown is the favorite right now but he drew the #20 starting position. That's tough to win from. Colonel John is in #10 and is the second favorite right now.

I'm going to take Pyro who is at 6-1 right now. No idea why.
No matter where you go, there you are.

User avatar
Dead Horse
Merry Man
Posts: 23
Joined: Fri Nov 09, 2007 10:48 am
Location: Horse Heaven

#27 Post by Dead Horse » Thu May 01, 2008 7:22 am

andrewjackson wrote:Cowboy Cal is owned by Bob McNair, the owner of the Houston Texans.

Big Brown is the favorite right now but he drew the #20 starting position. That's tough to win from. Colonel John is in #10 and is the second favorite right now.

I'm going to take Pyro who is at 6-1 right now. No idea why.
You gotta be careful betting on that Pyro. I trained with him for a while. He'll burn you.
Enough Already

User avatar
themanintheseersuckersuit
Posts: 7631
Joined: Mon Oct 08, 2007 6:37 pm
Location: South Carolina

#28 Post by themanintheseersuckersuit » Thu May 01, 2008 7:27 am

Don't bet on the Llama
Suitguy is not bitter.

feels he represents the many educated and rational onlookers who believe that the hysterical denouncement of lay scepticism is both unwarranted and counter-productive

The problem, then, is that such calls do not address an opposition audience so much as they signal virtue. They talk past those who need convincing. They ignore actual facts and counterargument. And they are irreparably smug.

User avatar
earendel
Posts: 13856
Joined: Tue Oct 09, 2007 5:25 am
Location: mired in the bureaucracy

#29 Post by earendel » Thu May 01, 2008 8:04 am

andrewjackson wrote:Cowboy Cal is owned by Bob McNair, the owner of the Houston Texans.

Big Brown is the favorite right now but he drew the #20 starting position. That's tough to win from. Colonel John is in #10 and is the second favorite right now.

I'm going to take Pyro who is at 6-1 right now. No idea why.
Funny thing is that Big Brown's owner or trainer must have chosen that position. This year the poll positions were determined by a two-stage process - a "pill pull" to determine the order in which the owners/trainers would select their positions, and then the actual selection. Speculation is that Big Brown's owner wanted to be on the outside to avoid the "rush to the rail" that could prove problematic for the horse.
"Elen sila lumenn omentielvo...A star shines on the hour of our meeting."

User avatar
andrewjackson
Posts: 3945
Joined: Wed Oct 10, 2007 12:33 pm
Location: Planet 10

#30 Post by andrewjackson » Thu May 01, 2008 11:46 am

earendel wrote:
andrewjackson wrote:Cowboy Cal is owned by Bob McNair, the owner of the Houston Texans.

Big Brown is the favorite right now but he drew the #20 starting position. That's tough to win from. Colonel John is in #10 and is the second favorite right now.

I'm going to take Pyro who is at 6-1 right now. No idea why.
Funny thing is that Big Brown's owner or trainer must have chosen that position. This year the poll positions were determined by a two-stage process - a "pill pull" to determine the order in which the owners/trainers would select their positions, and then the actual selection. Speculation is that Big Brown's owner wanted to be on the outside to avoid the "rush to the rail" that could prove problematic for the horse.
Interesting. #20 is pretty far outside but maybe it will work out.

I looked it up. Big Brown didn't pick until 16th. Obviously there weren't many good picks left by then. 1, 2, 18, 19, or 20 were the only ones left to pick from. Of those, 20 is probably the best. I wouldn't want to be 1 or 2 with this size field.

Draw order and post position pick:

1. Visionaire -8
2. Big Truck - 7
3. Colonel John 10
4. Z Fortune - 6
5. Pyro - 9
6. Eight Belles - 5
7. Anak Nakal - 3
8. Court Vision - 4
9. Z Humor -11
10. Monba -14
11. Smooth Air -12
12. Adriano - 15
13. Bob Black Jack - 13
14. Denis of Cork - 16
15. Cowboy Cal -17
16. Big Brown - 20
17. Tale of Ekati - 2
18. Cool Coal Man - 1
19. Recapturetheglory - 18
20. Gayego - 19

Basically the first 8 filled in the 3-10 positions starting in the middle and working both ways. Which is usually where you want to be. Then the next 7 filled up 11-17. Which are probably better than 1 or 2. That didn't leave too many options for Big Brown or the ones to follow.
No matter where you go, there you are.

User avatar
TheConfessor
Posts: 6462
Joined: Mon Oct 08, 2007 1:11 pm

Re: AYSTAFG about the Kentucky Derby?

#31 Post by TheConfessor » Thu May 01, 2008 12:06 pm

earendel wrote: Well, after yesterday's "pill pull" for post position, Big Brown has been installed as the early favorite at 3-1 even though he will be starting from the 20th position. (For those in the know, this is the last of the regular starting gate slots - any more than 20 and there's an auxiliary gate. No horse has won coming from the auxiliary gate.)
For those who are REALLY in the know, this is wrong. The main gate holds 14 horses. The auxiliary gate holds the remaining six horses. There's no real difference between the two gates, except that the second gate holds the outermost post positions. Several Derby winners have started from the auxiliary gate. In recent years, these have included Monarchos, Fusaichi Pegasus, Charismatic, Grindstone, Thunder Gulch, Swale, and Gato Del Sol.
http://horseracing.about.com/od/history ... rbywin.htm

The largest Kentucky Derby field ever was 23 starters in 1974. (I was there. I attended every year from 1969 to 1976, and a few times since then.) Because of safety concerns, the field was capped at a maximum of 20 starters several years ago.

User avatar
PlacentiaSoccerMom
Posts: 8134
Joined: Mon Oct 08, 2007 10:47 am
Location: Placentia, CA
Contact:

#32 Post by PlacentiaSoccerMom » Thu May 01, 2008 12:28 pm

How do I bet on a horse. I have never done it before.
13. Bob Black Jack - 13
This horse is going to win because 13 is one of my favorite numbers and my dad's name was Bob. Is it a black horse?

User avatar
andrewjackson
Posts: 3945
Joined: Wed Oct 10, 2007 12:33 pm
Location: Planet 10

#33 Post by andrewjackson » Thu May 01, 2008 1:02 pm

PlacentiaSoccerMom wrote:How do I bet on a horse. I have never done it before.
13. Bob Black Jack - 13
This horse is going to win because 13 is one of my favorite numbers and my dad's name was Bob. Is it a black horse?
Here is the Kentucky Derby website listing some online site where you can place bets:

http://www.kentuckyderby.info/kentucky- ... etting.php

I'd guess there are other unofficial sites. You can also go to a lot of tracks and place bets on the Derby.
No matter where you go, there you are.

User avatar
silvercamaro
Dog's Best Friend
Posts: 9608
Joined: Mon Oct 08, 2007 11:45 am

#34 Post by silvercamaro » Thu May 01, 2008 1:06 pm

I'm sticking with Cork Boy.

User avatar
SportsFan68
No Scritches!!!
Posts: 21254
Joined: Thu Oct 11, 2007 8:36 pm
Location: God's Country

#35 Post by SportsFan68 » Thu May 01, 2008 11:28 pm

Kurt's a great guy, but holy cow. He thought I wanted to put my money on CowboyChuck. I think he was confused between BobBlackJack and BigTruck.

All is well. I have Cal; SteelersFan has BB.

GO CAL!!!
-- In Iroquois society, leaders are encouraged to remember seven generations in the past and consider seven generations in the future when making decisions that affect the people.
-- America would be a better place if leaders would do more long-term thinking. -- Wilma Mankiller

User avatar
PlacentiaSoccerMom
Posts: 8134
Joined: Mon Oct 08, 2007 10:47 am
Location: Placentia, CA
Contact:

#36 Post by PlacentiaSoccerMom » Thu May 01, 2008 11:35 pm

I just found out that Eight Belles is the only female horse in the race. I hope that she wins!

User avatar
kayrharris
Miss Congeniality
Posts: 11968
Joined: Fri Oct 12, 2007 10:48 am
Location: Auburn, AL
Contact:

#37 Post by kayrharris » Thu May 01, 2008 11:50 pm

Only 3 fillies have ever won the Kentucky Derby, the last to do so in 1988.
This will be Eight Belles first race against male horses.
"An investment in knowledge pays the best interest. "
Benjamin Franklin

User avatar
littlebeast13
Dumbass
Posts: 31416
Joined: Mon Oct 08, 2007 7:20 pm
Location: Between the Sterilite and the Farberware
Contact:

#38 Post by littlebeast13 » Sat May 03, 2008 7:14 pm

Dead Horse wrote:
littlebeast13 wrote:What are the odds on the Bored's favorite battered horse....?

lb13
Funny thing, I couldn't get in the race this year. Prolly because I been dead longer than the horses in the Derby have been alive.

Oh well, when the race fans start complaining about the quality of one year's field, that's when I'll make my comeback.

Guess I shoulda kept my mouth shut.... :shock:

lb13

Post Reply