BackInTex wrote:
Rasmussen polling says I'm right and you're wrong. Based on that alone they are a more credible source than your 538 site which blew the 2016 election badly.
Here is the last set of Rasmussen predictions, issued on the Monday before the election:
Clinton 322
Trump 216
Senate 50-50
House Democrats Gain 13 (Actual Democratic gain 6)
Governors No Change (Actual Republican gain 2)
http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_ ... 2016_picks
So, Rasmussen was wrong just like everyone else. For the record, 538 does not conduct polls. Instead, they analyze the polls and in essence compile a poll of polls. Their analysis does take into account the partisan tilt of the various polls and how reliable they have been in the past. Rasmussen has consistently shown a more Republican tilt than most other pollsters.
538 publishes a net approval rating for Trump, which they update daily and is currently approximately -11%, which means that 11% more of the public disapproves of Trump's performance than approves of it. That's an improvement since the end of the year, when his figures were around -20%. The current figures include polls that interviewed people as recently as yesterday.