Clusterf**k to the White House -- T-minus 54 days
Posted: Thu Sep 11, 2008 6:32 am
No lipstick. Just polls.
Alaska (Rasmussen)
McCain 64%, Obama 33%
Iowa (Opinion Research)
Obama 55%, McCain 40%
Michigan (Opinion Research)
Obama 49%, McCain 45%
Missouri (Opinion Research)
McCain 50%, Obama 45%
Montana (Rasmussen)
McCain 53%, Obama 42%
New Mexico (Rasmussen)
McCain 49%, Obama 47%
North Dakota (Rasmussen)
McCain 55%, Obama 41%
Ohio (Opinion Research + Rasmussen)
McCain 48%, Obama 46%
Virginia (Opinion Research)
McCain 49%, Obama 47% (the exact numbers from both Ras and SurveyUSA earlier this week)
I'm gonna go out on a limb and say that Alaska, Iowa, Montana, and North Dakota are now out of play. Obama will win Iowa. McCain will win Alaska, Montana, and North Dakota.
Electoral-Vote.com now has Obama ahead in only three Bush '04 states: Colorado, Iowa, and Nevada. However, these three states (when added to all of the Kerry '04 states) have enough EVs to give Obama the November victory. In the midst of McCain's convention bounce, it's Obama 273, McCain 238, with Florida's 27 EVs still a toss-up.
Pollster.com has the race at Obama 293, McCain 245 (MT, ND, and VA all shift to McCain; Obama leading in CO by 0.8%, IA by 8.9%, NM by 5.2%, and OH by 0.7%)
Alaska (Rasmussen)
McCain 64%, Obama 33%
Iowa (Opinion Research)
Obama 55%, McCain 40%
Michigan (Opinion Research)
Obama 49%, McCain 45%
Missouri (Opinion Research)
McCain 50%, Obama 45%
Montana (Rasmussen)
McCain 53%, Obama 42%
New Mexico (Rasmussen)
McCain 49%, Obama 47%
North Dakota (Rasmussen)
McCain 55%, Obama 41%
Ohio (Opinion Research + Rasmussen)
McCain 48%, Obama 46%
Virginia (Opinion Research)
McCain 49%, Obama 47% (the exact numbers from both Ras and SurveyUSA earlier this week)
I'm gonna go out on a limb and say that Alaska, Iowa, Montana, and North Dakota are now out of play. Obama will win Iowa. McCain will win Alaska, Montana, and North Dakota.
Electoral-Vote.com now has Obama ahead in only three Bush '04 states: Colorado, Iowa, and Nevada. However, these three states (when added to all of the Kerry '04 states) have enough EVs to give Obama the November victory. In the midst of McCain's convention bounce, it's Obama 273, McCain 238, with Florida's 27 EVs still a toss-up.
Pollster.com has the race at Obama 293, McCain 245 (MT, ND, and VA all shift to McCain; Obama leading in CO by 0.8%, IA by 8.9%, NM by 5.2%, and OH by 0.7%)