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Pollster.com State Poll Averages, as of Sept. 8

There should be a bunch of new state polls this week, so many of these numbers should change. I won't do daily poll posts, but I'll put them up as often as I can.

The states colored blue are "flips" to Obama from Bush '04.

Strong Obama (ahead by 10 or more points)
California (52.3-37.1), Connecticut (54.6-33.6), DC (not polled, but expected to be for Obama heavily), Hawaii (61-31), Illinois (51.8-36.8 ), Maryland (54.2-36.9), Massachusetts (53.9-35.3), Maine (52.8-39), New Jersey (50.4-39.3), New York (52.5-33), Rhode Island (53.2-29.1), Vermont (60.7-31.7), Washington (50-39.4), Wisconsin (49.3-39.3)

Close Obama (ahead by 5.0-9.9 points)
Delaware (50-41), Iowa (50.4-41.5), Michigan (45.8-40.7), Minnesota (49.4-41.4), New Mexico (48.4-41.2), Oregon (48.8-42), Pennsylvania (48.3-41.4)

Barely Obama (ahead by less than 5.0 points)
Colorado (44.7-42.9), Montana (48.3-45.2), New Hampshire (45.7-44.1), Ohio (44.7-42.8 ), Virginia (45.9-44.6)

Barely McCain
Florida (46.2-44.1), Indiana (47.9-43.7), Nevada (44.9-44.2), North Carolina (46.8-43.7), North Dakota (42.4-42.3)

Close McCain
Arizona (45.8-40.4), Georgia (49.8-43.8 ), Missouri (48.3-44.2), South Carolina (46.9-39.4), South Dakota (44.8-38.7), Texas (50.3-43.4)

Strong McCain
Alabama (48.9-36.1), Alaska (55.2-34.2), Arkansas (47.4-40.3), Idaho (52.3-34.9), Kansas (55.6-37.1), Kentucky (52.4-37.8 ), Louisiana (52.8-37.6), Mississippi (52.9-42.9), Nebraska (55.6-34.2), Oklahoma (50-31.8 ), Tennessee (50.4-35.7), Utah (60.9-23.9), West Virginia (49.4-35.9), Wyoming (55.6-34.4)

Pollster's Electoral Vote count: Obama 309, McCain 229

Electoral-Vote.com's EV count is closer: Obama 301, McCain 224 (Obama ahead in CO, IA, NV, NM, ND, and OH; VA a pure tie)

NellyLunatic1980 wrote:Pollster.com State Poll Averages, as of Sept. 8

There should be a bunch of new state polls this week, so many of these numbers should change. I won't do daily poll posts, but I'll put them up as often as I can.

The states colored blue are "flips" to Obama from Bush '04.

Strong Obama (ahead by 10 or more points)
California (52.3-37.1), Connecticut (54.6-33.6), DC (not polled, but expected to be for Obama heavily), Hawaii (61-31), Illinois (51.8-36.8 ), Maryland (54.2-36.9), Massachusetts (53.9-35.3), Maine (52.8-39), New Jersey (50.4-39.3), New York (52.5-33), Rhode Island (53.2-29.1), Vermont (60.7-31.7), Washington (50-39.4), Wisconsin (49.3-39.3)

Close Obama (ahead by 5.0-9.9 points)
Delaware (50-41), Iowa (50.4-41.5), Michigan (45.8-40.7), Minnesota (49.4-41.4), New Mexico (48.4-41.2), Oregon (48.8-42), Pennsylvania (48.3-41.4)

Barely Obama (ahead by less than 5.0 points)
Colorado (44.7-42.9), Montana (48.3-45.2), New Hampshire (45.7-44.1), Ohio (44.7-42.8 ), Virginia (45.9-44.6)

Barely McCain
Florida (46.2-44.1), Indiana (47.9-43.7), Nevada (44.9-44.2), North Carolina (46.8-43.7), North Dakota (42.4-42.3)

Close McCain
Arizona (45.8-40.4), Georgia (49.8-43.8 ), Missouri (48.3-44.2), South Carolina (46.9-39.4), South Dakota (44.8-38.7), Texas (50.3-43.4)

Strong McCain
Alabama (48.9-36.1), Alaska (55.2-34.2), Arkansas (47.4-40.3), Idaho (52.3-34.9), Kansas (55.6-37.1), Kentucky (52.4-37.8 ), Louisiana (52.8-37.6), Mississippi (52.9-42.9), Nebraska (55.6-34.2), Oklahoma (50-31.8 ), Tennessee (50.4-35.7), Utah (60.9-23.9), West Virginia (49.4-35.9), Wyoming (55.6-34.4)

Pollster's Electoral Vote count: Obama 309, McCain 229

Electoral-Vote.com's EV count is closer: Obama 301, McCain 224 (Obama ahead in CO, IA, NV, NM, ND, and OH; VA a pure tie)

There are no new state polls since the Republican convention, and very few since the Palin announcement. Expect to see more state polls this week and those numbers to change very quickly in a lot of states. McCain is now running ahead in this election, and unless Obama does something major to change the dynamic, or McCain/Palin commit a major gaffe or involved in a major scandal, McCain is going to win. And if there's some new dirt that comes out about Obama, which I believe there will be, this election could wind up being a runaway along the lines of Bush-Dukakis or Clinton-Dole.

NellyLunatic1980 wrote:There should be a bunch of new state polls this week, so many of these numbers should change. I won't do daily poll posts, but I'll put them up as often as I can.

Why on earth would you want to do that?

flockofseagulls104 wrote:

NellyLunatic1980 wrote:There should be a bunch of new state polls this week, so many of these numbers should change. I won't do daily poll posts, but I'll put them up as often as I can.

Why on earth would you want to do that?

Because it's better than posting all of these BS "Obama up by 9! McCain up by 10!" national polls.