WWTBAM Bored

As Gomer Pyle would say, "Surprise, surprise, surprise."

An analysis by the Kaiser Foundation of the amount of tax credits people stand to gain or lose on Trumpcare vs. Obamacare shows that those who stand to lose $5,000 or more in tax credits voted for Trump by a 59-36% margin. On the other hand, those who actually stand to gain under Trumpcare actually supported Hillary Clinton.

Donald Trump: Making America Great for himself, not his voters.

https://www.nytimes.com/2017/03/10/upsh ... share&_r=1

There are some holes in this analysis. "It’s important to note that while many of Mr. Trump’s supporters might be eligible for a smaller tax credit under the Republican plan, only a fraction of those voters would be immediately affected. According to the C.C.E.S., about 4 percent of Mr. Trump’s supporters purchased a plan on exchanges last year." The rest of them are hoping Republicare reduces health care costs in general. I'm interested in what the C.B.O. says about that.

Another flaw: "This analysis is limited to people who don’t receive Medicare or Medicaid. But Medicaid recipients, who also stand to lose under the law, lean more Democratic."

I'm reading speculation that the bill is designed to fail in the Senate, to give House Republicans political cover by allowing them to blame the failure of repeal-and-don't-really-replace on the Senate. --Bob