WWTBAM Bored

According to Nate Silver's polls-only model, Secretary Clinton first was projected to be a favorite in Georgia on August 9. She's now a very slight underdog. --Bob

Bob78164 wrote:According to Nate Silver's polls-only model, Secretary Clinton first was projected to be a favorite in Georgia on August 9. She's now a very slight underdog. --Bob

It's a statistical tie.

The governor and other statewide office holders are NOT on the ballot in 2016 and the U.S. Senate race is not at all competitive. (Jonny Isakson will win easily).
Those races aren't going to motivate folks to go out and vote.

That said, I don't know who would gain an advantage by relatively lower turnout here in Georgia.

bazodee wrote:The governor and other statewide office holders are NOT on the ballot in 2016 and the U.S. Senate race is not at all competitive. (Jonny Isakson will win easily).
Those races aren't going to motivate folks to go out and vote.

That said, I don't know who would gain an advantage by relatively lower turnout here in Georgia.

The last poll I saw had Isakson up by only 5 points. But the big question in Georgia, as well as other states that have a substantial Hispanic population (Arizona), is to what extent they are going to actually register and turn out to vote. I've heard that Trump has been driving heavier than normal Hispanic registration, and if they vote against him, they aren't likely to split their tickets.

However, in 2014, Georgia polls showed a very tight race for both governor and senator, but the Republican candidates won both races fairly easily.