WWTBAM Bored

I hope I'm not violating some unwritten rule about political predictions.

But as of Saturday, July 16 I am ready to make a prediction for the Democratic VP running mate. All the numbers have been crunched through the Black Box yielding the correct choice:


It will be

Spoiler

Gov. Hickenlooper of Colorado

.

Isn't Tim Kaine the favorite among the conventional wisdom? --Bob

I'm sticking with Sherrod Brown.

Kane, O'Malley, Brown all still viable.

Warren is too much like Clinton, and in fact exposes some of Clinton's weaknesses by being more awesome. She would be smart to wait her turn.

Julian Castro looked good for a while, but they don't need Hispanic votes because Trump has alienated so many, and he, like Warren, also would look too good at the bottom of the ticket.

I don't think it'll be Brown. Sure, Hillary could pick him to shore up Ohio (the mother of all swing states) and possibly get Ted Strickland elected to the Senate. But the main downside is that a Republican governor (Kasich) would pick Brown's Senate replacement. Hillary is very calculated and strategic. She knows this already. She would never endanger even one seat that would be critical for the Democratic Party to resume control of the Senate.

bazodee wrote:I hope I'm not violating some unwritten rule about political predictions.

But as of Saturday, July 16 I am ready to make a prediction for the Democratic VP running mate. All the numbers have been crunched through the Black Box yielding the correct choice:


It will be

Spoiler

Gov. Hickenlooper of Colorado

.

No knock on Hickenlooper, he is a dedicated public servant and has done well as governor. I disagree with several of his positions, but I'm still sorry he's term limited. I do not know how VP candidates are picked, but I do know that in most of the areas I disagree with Hick, it's because his positions are more Republican than Democratic. My guess is that a President would not want to bring that baggage on board. Also, we're pretty small. With 20/20 hindsight, I agree with picking Kaine.

I agree with Skoop that Warren would not be great on the ticket. Many of us would prefer her to Clinton, and I think Clinton is smart not to underscore this. I was "ready for Hillary," and in eight years, I intend to be "ready for Elizabeth."