The Cosmos plays an April Fool's joke on me.
- silvercamaro
- Dog's Best Friend
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- Joined: Mon Oct 08, 2007 11:45 am
The Cosmos plays an April Fool's joke on me.
I have concluded watching the program that TPTB -- the really big, important TPTB -- have chosen for my April 1 viewing. The Science Channel wanted me to watch "Baseball's Secret Formula," a profile of Bill James and an explanation of Sabermetrics. I yielded to the inevitable.
Here's some of what I learned:
-- The optimal number of pitches per pitcher in the major leagues is 120.
-- According to linear weight theory, stealing bases always is a bad idea, yielding fewer runs than steals can gain on a statistical basis.
-- Honus Wagner was the greatest shortstop ever, as determined by comparative mathematics.
-- The next big breakthrough in Sabermetrics will be in fielding statistics, which historically have not been maintained in a meaningful manner.
It's a start. Now I know what Bill James looks like, in case I someday encounter him in an airport. If I ever sit next to him on a plane, he will tell me everything he knows and more. I will remember some of that, too.
Here's some of what I learned:
-- The optimal number of pitches per pitcher in the major leagues is 120.
-- According to linear weight theory, stealing bases always is a bad idea, yielding fewer runs than steals can gain on a statistical basis.
-- Honus Wagner was the greatest shortstop ever, as determined by comparative mathematics.
-- The next big breakthrough in Sabermetrics will be in fielding statistics, which historically have not been maintained in a meaningful manner.
It's a start. Now I know what Bill James looks like, in case I someday encounter him in an airport. If I ever sit next to him on a plane, he will tell me everything he knows and more. I will remember some of that, too.
- peacock2121
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- ulysses5019
- Purveyor of Avatars
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And he will know the final score in the poem, "Casey at the Bat". He will then offer me a piece of chocolate.It's a start. Now I know what Bill James looks like, in case I someday encounter him in an airport. If I ever sit next to him on a plane, he will tell me everything he knows and more. I will remember some of that, too.
I believe in the usefulness of useless information.
- TheConfessor
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- PlacentiaSoccerMom
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- themanintheseersuckersuit
- Posts: 7631
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Suitguy is not bitter.
feels he represents the many educated and rational onlookers who believe that the hysterical denouncement of lay scepticism is both unwarranted and counter-productive
The problem, then, is that such calls do not address an opposition audience so much as they signal virtue. They talk past those who need convincing. They ignore actual facts and counterargument. And they are irreparably smug.
feels he represents the many educated and rational onlookers who believe that the hysterical denouncement of lay scepticism is both unwarranted and counter-productive
The problem, then, is that such calls do not address an opposition audience so much as they signal virtue. They talk past those who need convincing. They ignore actual facts and counterargument. And they are irreparably smug.
- silvercamaro
- Dog's Best Friend
- Posts: 9608
- Joined: Mon Oct 08, 2007 11:45 am
I love it!themanintheseersuckersuit wrote:Freakonomics piles on SC
http://freakonomics.blogs.nytimes.com/2 ... questions/
Bring it on, cosmos.
