WWTBAM Bored

Quadrennial Bored Presidential Prophecy Contest

PLEASE READ THE ENTIRE POST BEFORE SUBMITTING YOUR ENTRY.

The Questions:

Q1 – Who will win the 2008 presidential election?

Q2 - List the states the winner of the 2008 presidential election will carry by dint of getting all or most of the electoral votes from that state. (The District of Columbia is considered a state.)
DAILY DOUBLE STATES:
Florida
Indiana
Missouri
North Carolina
Ohio
DON'T LIST THE DAILY DOUBLE STATES SEPARATELY. JUST INCLUDE THE ONES YOU PREDICT THE WINNER WILL TAKE IN YOUR LIST.

Q3 (Tiebreaker)
Q3 (a) What percentage of the popular vote (rounded to the nearest whole number) will Barack Obama carry in North Dakota?
Q3(b) What percentage of the popular vote (rounded to the nearest whole number) will John McCain carry in Nevada?
Q3(c) What will the Dow Jones Industrial Average (rounded to two decimal places) be at the end of trading Tuesday, November 4?
Q3(d) What is the total of your responses to questions Q3(a), (b) and (c)? (You didn't expect me to do the math on these, did you?)


The Rules:

A. Answering the questions:

Q1 - ONLY contestants who correctly answer Q1 will be eligible to win the contest.

Q2 - List ONLY the states which the winner of the election carries, and please list them in alphabetical order. Do NOT use postal abbreviations, please write out the entire name of the state.
Question 2 will be scored this way:
+1 point for each state on your list carried by the winner.
-1 point for each state not on your list carried by the winner
-2 points for each state on your list not carried by the winner
With the exception of
DAILY DOUBLE STATES.
+2 points for each DD state on your list carried by the winner
-2 points for each DD state not on your list carried by the winner
-4 points for each DD state on your list not carried by the winner
Only list those DD states which the winner carries.

Q3 - The contestant whose TOTAL of those three numbers is closest to the total of the actual results WITHOUT GOING OVER will win the tiebreaker. If contestants tie the tiebreaker total, then the contestant who picked the DJIA closest without going over will win the tiebreaker. If there is still a tie, then the tied contestants will be given an essay question to be judged by the judges in their (my) sole discretion.

BONUS POINTS:
There will be a 3-point bonus for anyone who posts their answers before Noon, Eastern Time, October 28.

The winner will be the entrant who correctly selects the winner of the presidential election and has the most points.

B- Posting your entry:
-All entries must be posted prior to Noon, Eastern Time, MONDAY, November 3.
-Only post answers in this thread. Please do not post anything but answers in this thread. -There will be another thread for comments, questions or the unlikely complaints.
-Only one entry per contestant.
-Bud Collyer Rule: “No changes, no consultation.” No changes to answers are allowed once an entry is posted. Put your answers in anti-spoiler boxes. No peeking at other entries until you have entered. This means you.

C: Miscellaneous:
-If a state splits its electoral votes, the winner of a state will be deemed to be the candidate who gets the majority of votes in that state. If the candidates tie in electoral votes in a given state, there will be no winner for that state.
-The source for determining the winner of a given state and vote tallies will be the results posted in the New York Times on Thursday, November 6. If a given race is not resolved by then, it will be solely in the discretion of the judges (me) to decide how to rule on that state.
-All decisions of the judges will be arbitrary, prejudiced and final.

The winner will receive a copy of “Double-Take,” the much-anticipated new Christmas pageant published by Abingdon Press, and written by, well, me, including the two pages which the publisher left out (don’t ask).

Spoiler

Q1 – Who will win the 2008 presidential election?
Obama

Q2 - List the states the winner of the 2008 presidential election will carry by dint of getting all or most of the electoral votes from that state.

California
Colorado
Connecticut
Delaware
District of Columbia
Flordia
Georgia
Hawaii
Illionois
Indiana
Iowa
Maine
Maryland
Massechusets
Michigan
Minnisota
Missouri
Nebraska
Nevada
New Hampshire
New Jersey
New Mexico
New York
North Carolina
North Dakota
Ohio
Oregon
Pennsylvania
Rhode Island
Virgina
Vermont
Washington
West Virgina
Wisconson

DAILY DOUBLE STATES:
Florida
Indiana
Missouri
North Carolina
Ohio

Q3 (Tiebreaker)
Q3 (a) What percentage of the popular vote (rounded to the nearest whole number) will Barack Obama carry in North Dakota?
52%

Q3(b) What percentage of the popular vote (rounded to the nearest whole number) will John McCain carry in Nevada?
48%

Q3(c) What will the Dow Jones Industrial Average (rounded to two decimal places) be at the end of trading Tuesday, November 4?
8756.87

Q3(d) What is the total of your responses to questions Q3(a), (b) and (c)? (You didn't expect me to do the math on these, did you?)
8856.87

---Jay

OK, I've had my prediction for a while now. I have been wavering about a few of these, but I'm not gonna change anything. The last thing I want to do is miss out on winning Double-Take because I switched an answer or two!

Here goes:

Spoiler

Q1. Despite my crucial vote in the swing state of Maryland, it's gonna be Obama.

Q2. California
Colorado
Connecticut
Delaware
District of Columbia
Florida
Illinois
Iowa
Hawaii
Maine
Maryland
Massachussetts
Michigan
Minnesota
Nevada
New Hampshire
New Jersey
New Mexico
New York
North Carolina
Ohio
Oregon
Pennsylvania
Rhode Island
Vermont
Washington
Wisconsin

Daily Double States: Missouri and Indiana go McCain. The others go Obama.

Q3a: 42%
Q3b: 49%
Q3c: 9523.68
Q3d: 9624.68

Thoughts: If McCain wins, there may not be a winner of this contest, based on the rules.

McCain's way to victory would be either (a) to tap into a suppressed anti-Obama sentiment that is being under-reported and under-polled and take most of the tossup states and several states thought to be leaning Obama right now or (b) capture all the states I believe he will plus Ohio, NC, and FL, plus either one or two (depending on the electoral votes for the states) of CO, NM, MN, WI and NH.

It is more likely in my view that Obama takes VA, IN, MO and other swing states to make this even more of a rout than for either of the McCain-winning scenarios I outlined above.

Q1 – Who will win the 2008 presidential election?
It will be

Spoiler

Obama

, of course.

Q2 - List the states the winner of the 2008 presidential election will carry by dint of getting all or most of the electoral votes from that state.

Spoiler

California
Colorado
Connecticut
Delaware
District of Columbia
Florida (double)
Hawaii
Illinois
Iowa
Maine
Maryland
Massachusetts
Michigan
Minnesota
Missouri (double)
Nevada
New Hampshire
New Jersey
New Mexico
New York
North Carolina (double)
Ohio (double)
Oregon
Pennsylvania
Rhode Island
Vermont
Virginia
Washington state
Wisconsin

Q3 (Tiebreaker)
Q3 (a) What percentage of the popular vote (rounded to the nearest whole number) will Barack Obama carry in North Dakota?

Spoiler

47%

Q3(b) What percentage of the popular vote (rounded to the nearest whole number) will John McCain carry in Nevada?

Spoiler

48%

Q3(c) What will the Dow Jones Industrial Average (rounded to two decimal places) be at the end of trading Tuesday, November 4?

Spoiler

8,222.22

Q3(d) What is the total of your responses to questions Q3(a), (b) and (c)? (You didn't expect me to do the math on these, did you?)

Spoiler

8,317.22

I've added a link to this thread to the Bored Reference sticky. --Bob

I see that Jay is taking a big gamble by picking

Spoiler

Obama

to win

Spoiler

West Virginia

. He must be taking the recent polls from that state very seriously. Personally, I don't think that state is in play, but I've been wrong before.

Moving this up, as a public service.

Q1 Winner will be Sen.

Spoiler

Obama and Sen. Biden

Q2 The state they will carry are:

Spoiler

California, Oregon, Washington, Hawaii, Nevada, Montana, Colorado, New Mexico, Iowa, Minnesota, Missouri, Illinois, Wisconsin, Michigan, Florida, North Carolina, Virginia, District of Columbia, Maryland, Delaware, Pennsylvania, New Jersey, New York, Maine, New Hampshire, Vermont, Massachusetts, Connecticut, Rhode Island and North Dakota

Q3a Senator Obama will win

Spoiler

52

% of the vote in North Dakota
Q3b Senator McCain will win

Spoiler

46

% of the vote in Nevada
Q3c The Dow Jones 30IND average will close at

Spoiler

8446.32

Q3d The total of 3a+3b+3c is

Spoiler

8544.32

Pushing it up, as a public service.

Only 4 days or so to take advantage of that 3 point bonus.

Q1 – Who will win the 2008 presidential election?

Spoiler

Since I can't stand the thought of an Obama presidency, I am going to say (and hope) that John McCain pulls off the upset.

Q2 - List the states the winner of the 2008 presidential election will carry by dint of getting all or most of the electoral votes from that state. (The District of Columbia is considered a state.)
DAILY DOUBLE STATES:

Spoiler

Alabama
Alaska
Arizona
Arkansas
Florida
Georgia
Idaho
Indiana
Kansas
Kentucky
Louisiana
Mississippi
Missouri
Montana
Nebraska
Nevada
North Carolina
North Dakota
Ohio
Oklahoma
Pennsylvania
South Carolina
South Dakota
Tennessee
Texas
Utah
Virginia
West Virginia
Wyoming

Q3 (Tiebreaker)
Q3 (a) What percentage of the popular vote (rounded to the nearest whole number) will Barack Obama carry in North Dakota?

Spoiler

42

Q3(b) What percentage of the popular vote (rounded to the nearest whole number) will John McCain carry in Nevada?

Spoiler

49

Q3(c) What will the Dow Jones Industrial Average (rounded to two decimal places) be at the end of trading Tuesday, November 4?

Spoiler

8955.24

Q3(d) What is the total of your responses to questions Q3(a), (b) and (c)? (You didn't expect me to do the math on these, did you?)

Spoiler

9046.24

Q1 – Who will win the 2008 presidential election?

Spoiler

Barack Obama

Q2 - List the states the winner of the 2008 presidential election will carry by dint of getting all or most of the electoral votes from that state. (The District of Columbia is considered a state.)

Spoiler

California
Colorado
Connecticut
Delaware
Florida
Hawaii
Idaho
Illinois
Iowa
Maine
Maryland
Massachusetts
Michigan
Minnesota
Missouri
Nevada
New Hampshire
New Jersey
New Mexico
New York
North Carolina
Ohio
Oregon
Pennsylvania
Rhode Island
South Dakota
Vermont
Virginia
Washington D.C.
Washington State
Wisconsin

Q3 (Tiebreaker)
Q3 (a) What percentage of the popular vote (rounded to the nearest whole number) will Barack Obama carry in North Dakota?

Spoiler

44%

Q3(b) What percentage of the popular vote (rounded to the nearest whole number) will John McCain carry in Nevada?

Spoiler

45%

Q3(c) What will the Dow Jones Industrial Average (rounded to two decimal places) be at the end of trading Tuesday, November 4?

Spoiler

9231.21

Q3(d) What is the total of your responses to questions Q3(a), (b) and (c)? (You didn't expect me to do the math on these, did you?)

Spoiler

9320.21

I think that the Hello Kitty Coalition will gather enough support to prevent both Obama and McCain from winning. In an upset.......Ralph Nader!

ulysses5019 wrote:I think that the Hello Kitty Coalition will gather enough support to prevent both Obama and McCain from winning. In an upset.......Ralph Nader!

I was gonna tell the Hello Kitty Coalition to bite me twice, but I just realized that Hello Kitty doesn't even have a mouth with which to bite me.

My entry

Obama will win the election.

He will win the following states:
California
Colorado
Connecticut
Delaware
District of Columbia
Florida
Hawaii
Illinois
Indiana
Iowa
Maine
Maryland
Massachusetts
Michigan
Minnesota
Missouri
Montana
Nevada
New Hampshire
New Jersey
New Mexico
New York
North Carolina
North Dakota
Ohio
Oregon
Pennsylvania
Rhode Island
Vermont
Virginia
Washington
Wisconsin

3(a): 51
3(b): 45
3(c): 8943.80
3(d): 9039.80

--Bob

Moving it up, for your competitive convenience.

Did I mention Ted Stevens' entry has been disqualified?

Moving it up.

Moving it up.

3 hours to go.

[quote="nitrah55"]Quadrennial Bored Presidential Prophecy Contest

PLEASE READ THE ENTIRE POST BEFORE SUBMITTING YOUR ENTRY.

The Questions:

Spoiler

Spoiler

Q1 – Who will win the 2008 presidential election? - McCain He will get 270 votes and Obama will get 268 -
Young people forget to vote and I think that Obama will lose because of this. (This is not what I want, but I think that it might happen.)

Q2
ALABAMA
ALASKA
ARIZONA
ARKANSAS
COLORADO
GEORGIA
IDAHO
INDIANA
IOWA
KANSAS
KENTUCKY
LOUISIANA
MINNESOTA
MISSISSIPPI
MISSOURI
MONTANA
NEBRASKA
NEVADA
NEW MEXICO
NORTH CAROLINA
NORTH DAKOTA
OKLAHOMA
PENNSYLVANIA
SOUTH CAROLINA
SOUTH DAKOTA
TENNESSEE
TEXAS
UTAH
VIRGINIA
WEST VIRGINIA
WYOMING


Q3 (Tiebreaker)
Q3 (a) What percentage of the popular vote (rounded to the nearest whole number) will Barack Obama carry in North Dakota? 42%
Q3(b) What percentage of the popular vote (rounded to the nearest whole number) will John McCain carry in Nevada? 51%
Q3(c) What will the Dow Jones Industrial Average (rounded to two decimal places) be at the end of trading Tuesday, November 4? -8969
Q3(d) What is the total of your responses to questions Q3(a), (b) and (c)? (You didn't expect me to do the math on these, did you?) - 9062