Clusterf**k to the White House -- T-minus 22 days

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NellyLunatic1980
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Clusterf**k to the White House -- T-minus 22 days

#1 Post by NellyLunatic1980 » Mon Oct 13, 2008 8:23 am

I haven't done this in a few weeks, so let's see where all of the states stand right now.

Electoral-Vote.com

Colored states are flips from the 2004 presidential race.

Strong Obama
California (56-40), Connecticut (52-37), D.C. (82-13), Delaware (56-38), Hawaii (68-27), Illinois (54-40), Iowa (54-41), Maryland (57-38), Massachusetts (56-39), Michigan (56-40), New Hampshire (53-43), New Jersey (50-40), New York (58-37), Oregon (54-43), Pennsylvania (52-40), Rhode Island (48-26), Vermont (60-36), Washington state (53-43)

Weak Obama
Maine (51-46), Minnesota (51-44), New Mexico (49-43), Virginia (51-45), West Virginia (50-42), Wisconsin (52-43)

Barely Obama
Colorado (49-45), Florida (50-46), Nevada (49-46), North Dakota (45-43), Ohio (49-46)

Tied
Missouri (48-48)

Barely McCain
Indiana (49-45), North Carolina (49-48)

Weak McCain
Georgia (52-46), Mississippi (52-44), Montana (51-45)

Strong McCain
Alabama (59-35), Alaska (55-39), Arizona (52-38), Arkansas (52-42), Idaho (62-33), Kansas (56-40), Kentucky (53-42), Louisiana (55-40), Nebraska (56-37), Oklahoma (65-32), South Carolina (54-41), South Dakota (55-39), Tennessee (57-39), Texas (57-38), Utah (64-28), Wyoming (57-36)

Those latest poll numbers from North Dakota and West Virginia look like outliers. I haven't seen any other polls confirm these numbers.

Electoral College
Obama - 346
McCain - 181
Tied - 11

Pollster.com
(excluding all non-flip states where a candidate is 10 points ahead or more)

Iowa +11.4 Obama (53.2-41.8 )
Pennsylvania +7.8 Obama (50.3-42.5)
Maine +7.5 Obama (50.7-43.2)
New Jersey +7.4 Obama (49.8-42.4)
Michigan +6.6 Obama (49.3-42.7)
Colorado +6.3 Obama (50.9-44.6)
New Mexico +6.2 Obama (49.4-43.2)
Washington +5.9 Obama (49.7-43.8 )
Florida +5.6 Obama (50.2-44.6)
New Hampshire +5.3 Obama (49.7-44.4)
Minnesota +4.7 Obama (49.5-44.8 )
Ohio +4.3 Obama (49.2-44.9)
Virginia +3.1 Obama (49.7-46.6)
Nevada +1.8 Obama (48.9-47.1)
North Carolina +0.7 Obama (47.9-47.2)
West Virginia +1.1 McCain (46.3-45.2)
Indiana +2.5 McCain (48-45.5)
Missouri +2.9 McCain (49.1-46.2)
Georgia +7.5 McCain (51.3-43.8 )
Montana +7.7 McCain (51.2-43.5)

Electoral College
Obama - 353
McCain - 185

Electoral College (excluding tossup states)
Obama - 320
McCain - 158

RealClearPolitics.com shows similar numbers to those of Pollster.com.

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PlacentiaSoccerMom
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Re: Clusterf**k to the White House -- T-minus 22 days

#2 Post by PlacentiaSoccerMom » Mon Oct 13, 2008 10:57 am

We got our absentee ballots in the mail. I am going to vote, send in the ballots and then try to forget about the election.

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SportsFan68
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Re: Clusterf**k to the White House -- T-minus 22 days

#3 Post by SportsFan68 » Mon Oct 13, 2008 10:05 pm

PlacentiaSoccerMom wrote:We got our absentee ballots in the mail. I am going to vote, send in the ballots and then try to forget about the election.
GOOD LUCK!

SteelersFan has already voted and is trying to do exactly that. It's not working.
-- In Iroquois society, leaders are encouraged to remember seven generations in the past and consider seven generations in the future when making decisions that affect the people.
-- America would be a better place if leaders would do more long-term thinking. -- Wilma Mankiller

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