The yield curve has inverted

[Bob78164]

The return on a 10-year Treasury bond (as of yesterday's close) is 2.26%. The return on a 30-day note is 2.35%. That's not good. Historically an inversion (when long-term rates are lower than short-term rates) been one of the surest signs that a recession is imminent.

In other news, China, the world's largest buyer of soybeans, has stopped buying them from United States suppliers. --Bob

[bazodee]

The return on a 10-year Treasury bond (as of yesterday's close) is 2.26%. The return on a 30-day note is 2.35%. That's not good. Historically an inversion (when long-term rates are lower than short-term rates) been one of the surest signs that a recession is imminent.

In other news, China, the world's largest buyer of soybeans, has stopped buying them from United States suppliers. --Bob

Not all recessions are created equally. For economists, a recession is two consecutive quarters of contraction of the economy. It doesn't necessarily imply any particular decline in stock values or a percentage increase in unemployment. Most all agree, that after 10 years, we're going to hit a bump. How severe depends on a lot of other variables, especially those international shocks over which we have little influence.

[Bob Juch]

The return on a 10-year Treasury bond (as of yesterday's close) is 2.26%. The return on a 30-day note is 2.35%. That's not good. Historically an inversion (when long-term rates are lower than short-term rates) been one of the surest signs that a recession is imminent.

In other news, China, the world's largest buyer of soybeans, has stopped buying them from United States suppliers. --Bob

Not all recessions are created equally. For economists, a recession is two consecutive quarters of contraction of the economy. It doesn't necessarily imply any particular decline in stock values or a percentage increase in unemployment. Most all agree, that after 10 years, we're going to hit a bump. How severe depends on a lot of other variables, especially those international shocks over which we have little influence.

The Mexico tarrif may push it over the edge.

[tlynn78]

The return on a 10-year Treasury bond (as of yesterday's close) is 2.26%. The return on a 30-day note is 2.35%. That's not good. Historically an inversion (when long-term rates are lower than short-term rates) been one of the surest signs that a recession is imminent.

In other news, China, the world's largest buyer of soybeans, has stopped buying them from United States suppliers. --Bob

Not all recessions are created equally. For economists, a recession is two consecutive quarters of contraction of the economy. It doesn't necessarily imply any particular decline in stock values or a percentage increase in unemployment. Most all agree, that after 10 years, we're going to hit a bump. How severe depends on a lot of other variables, especially those international shocks over which we have little influence.

The Mexico tarrif may push it over the edge.

You and Bobbo can hope!! How pathetic it must be to live a life with bated breath just wishin' and prayin' for the US to fail so you can say, 'told you so!'

[silverscreenselect]

How pathetic it must be to live a life with bated breath just wishin' and prayin' for the US to fail so you can say, 'told you so!'

I guess you think that those weathercasters who send out hurricane warnings are just wishin' and prayin' for disaster to strike so they can say "told you so."

It would be a different story if (a) this tariff had the slightest chance of accomplishing something positive and (b) wasn't about the one millionth example of Trump flexing his muscles for the sole purpose of feeling good about himself.

[Beebs52]

How pathetic it must be to live a life with bated breath just wishin' and prayin' for the US to fail so you can say, 'told you so!'

I guess you think that those weathercasters who send out hurricane warnings are just wishin' and prayin' for disaster to strike so they can say "told you so."

It would be a different story if (a) this tariff had the slightest chance of accomplishing something positive and (b) wasn't about the one millionth example of Trump flexing his muscles for the sole purpose of feeling good about himself.

Actually, there are some of those out there occasionally. And while deep down I don't think you and your buds wish harm for our country...I do think all y'all are the "occasionals" in re Trump.